Game sevens are the most exciting matchups of the playoffs and we have two on the docket tonight. San Jose Sharks host the Vegas Golden Knights to advance to the second round.
This marks the eleventh time these two teams will meet this season, giving us ample data to consume.
I’ll explain why these previous games point to an obvious bet to place in tonight’s matchup. Let me explain.
More Games, More Data
With ten games between the two, we can start to draw clear comparisons for the final showdown.
During the regular season, the two teams split the four matchups, at home and away. So there was no clear advantage to home ice.
As you can already guess, they also split their six playoff games, with the Sharks winning two home games and one away game.
The Vegas Golden Knights are looking for one more road win in game seven.
It’s sure to be a great game, one you don’t want to miss even if you are not placing a wager. But with the previous ten matchups to review under a microscope, one clear bet stands out – the over/under.
In this final matchup, the odd makers are giving it basically an even matchup, and I agree. That’s why we are looking at the amount of goals that will be scored instead.
During those previous ten games, only three were under six goals scored, which is the over/under for tonights matchup.
I’m expecting a shootout as neither team is ready to go home. We will easily see more than six goals scored, making the over on the over/under the best way to bet on this matchup.
It is paying +100 at FanDuel, which is even. A $100 bet will payout $100. This is a great payout, making a 100% profit on a simple over/under in game seven.
To profitable bets,
Ryan
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